NIO - NIO Limited : US

แหล่งรวบรวมข้อมูลของหุ้นประเทศ All for one, one for global
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PK-TYW
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NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Oct 09, 2020 9:06 pm

NIOคือหุ้นEVของจีนbackโดยรัฐบาลจีน

ฉายาTesla of Chinaครับ กำลังการผลิตnew highทุกเดือน เป็นหุ้นแห่งอนาคตของจีน listedในNasdaq

Q2
https://ir.nio.com/static-files/48c6d54 ... 1ee876ba02

Official Website
https://www.nio.com/



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Oct 09, 2020 9:12 pm

นลทท่านนี้วิเคราะห์tsla nio Xpev ได้ละเอียดดีครับ

https://youtu.be/DjdzDbUXKn4



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:17 pm

Nio

Nio, China's premium electric vehicle manufacturer, saw delivery numbers reach new heights at the end of the quarter. The company delivered 4,708 vehicles in September alone, a year-over-year increase of 133.2%. Over the whole quarter, deliveries were up 154.3% year over year at 12,206 vehicles. Yearly deliveries have also seen increases in the triple digits.

September saw the company deliver 16 of its brand new EC6 model that has reached customers for the first time. The vehicle is viewed by some analysts as a potential competitor to Tesla's Model 3.



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Wed Oct 14, 2020 6:02 pm

JP Morgan analysts led by Nick Lai raised their price target on NIO sharply to $40 in a report released on Wednesday.

NIO shares closed at $21.62 on Tuesday, and JP Morgan's price target means NIO has 85% upside potential.

NIO shares went up by more than 7 percent in pre-market trading on Wednesday.

JP Morgan sharply raises NIO price target to $40, representing 85% upside potential-cnTechPost

JP Morgan's last rating on NIO was Neutral and was made on June 21, when the price target was $14.

In its latest report, JP Morgan gave NIO an Overweight rating and admitted that "we missed the stock's major rally YTD."

The report said Nio remains attractive from a long term perspective.

We are upgrading the stock to OW from Neutral and set a new Jun-21 PT of USD40 based on 3.0x 2025E EV to sales.

Admittedly, we missed the stock's major rally YTD. Instead of trying to justify a higher PT, we review our long term investment thesis based on our bullish top-down sector view, introduce 2025 earnings projection and draw implication to the current stock price.

We come to the conclusion that Nio remains attractive from a long term perspective.

We project the company to earn a ~7% market share in passenger EV market by 2025 or specifically ~30% share in the premium space which Nio focuses on.

In the near term, key catalysts would include:

1) anticipated solid 3Q results in mid-November, where we forecast GPM to further expand to ~12% vs. 8% in 2Q20.

2) Robust order backlog, in particular, the newly launched EC6 crossover model for which the wait time is around eight weeks due to initial productionramp and very strong demand.

3) A new sedan model scheduled to debut on "Nio Day" in December which should further enhance the company's current product portfolio (of two SUVs - ES8 and ES6, and one crossover - EC6).

Following the introduction of our 2023-25 earnings forecasts, we lift our Jun-21 PT to USD40 based on 3.0x EV to 2025E sales, the same valuation approach (of 3.0x EV to 2025E sales) we apply to Xpeng Auto, another Chinese EV start-up.

This also presents a meaningful discount to Tesla's current 5.1x EV to 2025E sales, which we believe is reasonable considering Tesla's technology leadership globally and market share momentum especially in China.

Previously, we followed average of three approaches in Nio's valuation analysis including EV/sales, PER and EV/EBITDA, which gives us a PT of USD36.

Considering consistency of valuation methodology across EV OEMs under coverage, we now move Nio's approach to EV/sales.

Investment Thesis, Valuation and Risks

NIO Inc. (Overweight; Price Target: $40.00)

Opportunities in 2021:

(1) Rising NEV penetration with an emerging and structural shift from "B" to "C" – with Tesla's localized Model 3 and aggressive pricing; we see an increasing (and unexpected) trend where more EV buyers are individuals, rather than corporates or individuals living in cities with purchase quotas – this structural wave could broaden EVs' addressable market, but lead to faster concentration in the EV business; NIO could benefit as long as it stays within the top 10 by market share.

(2) The extension of the NEV subsidy program toward 2022, where the battery swap business model is covered by the government's subsidy scheme, is encouraging.

(3) We project a meaningful pickup in new model launches, especially in 4Q20, along with the new model, EC6. The new sedan model is scheduled to debut on "Nio Day" in December which should further enhance the company's current product portfolio (of two SUVs- ES8 and ES6 and one crossover- EC6).

Valuation

Following the introduction of our 2023-25 earnings forecasts, we lift our Jun-21 PT to USD40 based on 3.0x EV to 2025E sales, the same valuation approach (of 3.0x EV to 2025E sales) we apply to Xpeng Auto, another Chinese EV start-up.

This also presents a meaningful discount to Tesla's current 5.1x EV to 2025E sales, which we believe is reasonable considering Tesla's technology leadership globally and market share momentum especially in China.

Previously, we followed average of three approaches in Nio's valuation analysis including EV/sales, PER and EV/EBITDA, which gives us a PT of USD36. Considering consistency of valuation methodology across EV OEMs under coverage, we now move Nio's approach to EV/sales.

Risks to rating and price target

Downside risks include:

Worse-than-expected execution and delivery of vehicles;

Worse-than-expected overall auto market sales/EV demand; and worse-than-expected competition from rivals with products at similar price points.

Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation

Investment Thesis

Opportunities in 2021:

(1) Rising NEV penetration with an emerging and structural shift from "B" to "C" – with Tesla's localized Model 3 and aggressive pricing; we see an increasing (and unexpected) trend where more EV buyers are individuals, rather than corporates or individuals living in cities with purchase quotas – this structural wave could broaden EVs' addressable market, but lead to faster concentration in the EV business; NIO could benefit as long as it stays within the top 10 by market share.

(2) The extension of the NEV subsidy program toward 2022, where the battery swap business model is covered by the government's subsidy scheme, is encouraging.

(3) We project a meaningful pickup in new model launches, especially in 4Q20, along with the new model, EC6. The new sedan model is scheduled to debut on "Nio Day" in December which should further enhance the company's current product portfolio (of two SUVs- ES8 and ES6 and one crossover- EC6).

Valuation

Our Jun-21 PT of US$40 is based on 3.0x EV to 2025E sales- the same valuation approach (of 3.0x EV to 2025E sales) we apply to Xpeng Auto, another Chinese EV start-up.

This also presents a meaningful discount to Tesla's current 5.1x EV to 2025E sales which we believe is reasonable considering Tesla's technology leadership globally and market share momentum especially in China.

Sorry if formatting is off, on mobile app



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:15 pm

เอามาจากretail investorในusนะครับ

Great news today for #NIO! Lovin it! So happy for all my fellow longs! Gotta repost this! #BlueSkiesComing

This movement is nothing compared to movements that are ahead us:

2020:

-October delivery record
-November delivery record
-December delivery record
-Q3 Financial statement record
-Q4 Financial statement record
-Magnificent bullish NIO DAY (9th January 2021)

2021:

-January more than 700% delivery number YOY increase
-Annual production 150 000 (150% increase YOY)
-New sedan model
-Export to Europe
-More battery stations
-More NIO houses
-More institutional buyers
-More price target upgrades
-More R&D
-First Robotic Taxi

2022:

-Anual production 300 000 (100% increase YOY)
-Entering the US and other global markets
-Huge revenues
-Becoming full profitable company
-New models
-New patents (wireless charging, solar roof charging, total autonomous vehicle, NIO EVE)



คิดว่าราคาnio bubbleหรือขึ้นแบบมีคุณภาพครับ?



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Mon Nov 02, 2020 3:24 pm

NIO Inc. Provides October 2020 Delivery Update

Company Achieved New Record-High Monthly Deliveries

NIO delivered 5,055 vehicles in October 2020, increasing by 100.1% year-over-year
NIO delivered 31,430 vehicles in 2020 in total, increasing by 111.4% year-over-year
Cumulative deliveries of ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of October 31, 2020 reached 63,343



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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Nov 13, 2020 9:24 am




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Re: NIO

Posts by PK-TYW » Wed Nov 18, 2020 9:36 am

Nio conference call Q3

- 3.3b in cash.
- No need in offering, enough cash on hand.
- 17k planned deliveries in Q4.
- 140M in regulatory credits in Q4.
- Regulatory credits will double in 2021.
- Both vehicle and non-vehicle margins increasing.
- Entering sedan market with 2 sedans.
- New 100kW battery.
- Production capacity expansion costs will be absorbed by JAC.
- No impact of Tesla price cuts.
- Europe expansion in 2nd half of 2021.



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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Thu Dec 31, 2020 9:16 pm




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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:46 pm




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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by AnieLee » Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:37 am


####################################################
ความสำเร็จจากการลงทุน ไม่ได้เกิดจาก "การซื้อของดี" แต่มาจาก "การซื้อของได้ดี" ต่างหาก


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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by JUPERJOE » Sun Jan 10, 2021 12:12 pm

phpBB [video]



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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Sun Jan 10, 2021 1:13 pm

AnieLee wrote:
Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:37 am
20D004FB-2955-492B-9E5D-A65F93AF4142.jpeg
สะอึกตรงย่อหน้าสุดท้าย ผลิตได้4หมื่นกว่าคัน marketcap92B

Business modelแบบนี้
อนาคตก็อาจจะได้เห็นapple bmw benz toyotaไปpartnerกับพวกintel,nvidia,panasonic,etc.แล้วผลิตEVดีๆก็ได้ครับ สุดท้ายเทคโนโลยีก็อาจตามกันทันหมดเหมือนsmartphone



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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Sun Jan 31, 2021 1:00 am




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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by Fennec » Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:26 am

phpBB [video]



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Re: NIO - NIO Limited : US

Posts by PK-TYW » Fri Mar 26, 2021 5:45 pm

(Reuters) - Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio Inc said on Friday it would halt production for five working days at its Hefei plant, due to a shortage in semiconductor chips.

Nio said it planned to suspend production from Monday. It also cut its first quarter delivery forecast to around 19,500 vehicles, compared to the 20,000 to 20,500 vehicles it had previously expected.

The company is one of several automakers to halt manufacturing this season.

Honda Motor Co Ltd and General Motors Co both announced this week they would continue production suspension at plants in North America for the coming weeks, citing the chip shortage as one of several reasons.

Swedish truck maker Volvo AB meanwhile said on Tuesday the chip shortage would have a "substantial" impact on its second-quarter earnings, and announced it would implement stop days across its truck manufacturing sites globally beginning in April.



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